The effects of the economic crisis in Spanish democracy: legitimacy, dissatisfaction and dissaffection
Â¿En quÃ© medida la actual crisis econÃ³mica espaÃ±ola estÃ¡ conduciendo a una crisis de la democracia? El propÃ³sito de este grupo de trabajo serÃa discutir los efectos de la crisis a partir de la tradicional diferenciaciÃ³n de las percepciones polÃticas de los espaÃ±oles en las tres dimensiones de legitimidad, descontento polÃtico y desafecciÃ³n, con especial atenciÃ³n a la desafecciÃ³n y sus distintos componentes. De modo especÃfico planteamos que, en el contexto de la presente crisis, la evoluciÃ³n de la desafecciÃ³n puede estar bifurcÃ¡ndose, de tal modo que aumenta en algunos de sus componentes y entre categorÃas sociales con menos recursos; al mismo tiempo que disminuye de la mano de otros indicadores como el interÃ©s por la polÃtica, entre otros. Esta Ãºltima tendencia estarÃa alentando un mayor nÃºmero de ciudadanos crÃticos, mÃ¡s implicados y exigentes con el Ã¡mbito de lo polÃtico; pero, en definitiva tambiÃ©n, menos desafectos.
Este grupo reÃºne trabajos que analicen tanto la evoluciÃ³n longitudinal de estas tres dimensiones y sus distintos indicadores, como su impacto en distintos subgrupos de poblaciÃ³n, prestando especial atenciÃ³n a los jÃ³venes, los desempleados y los habitantes de algunas comunidades autÃ³nomas. Existe un acuerdo bastante generalizado de que la crisis econÃ³mica ha tenido efectos claramente diferenciados en distintos grupos sociales, asÃ como por territorios. Por ello, el grupo de trabajo quiere reunir propuestas sobre la percepciÃ³n y la implicaciÃ³n con la democracia entre estos distintos grupos. Ello deberÃa permitirnos ofrecer una visiÃ³n de conjunto que estÃ©, sin embargo, basada en sus distintas tendencias.
Great Recession, institutional crisis and social change in Spain: institutional analysis and empirical findings.
The paper analyses the dynamics of institutional change in the Spanish society.
Reference: Douglass North and institutional design.
Institutions as rules or institutions as equilibriums of individual pressures?
In recent years, institutional design and change has been approached as endogenous. In the case of Spain, the institutional equilibrium during the Francoism has developed into a new institutional equilibrium of the Democracy. This evolution happened in Spain specially during the 1960â€™s were quasi-parameters were developed and which came forward once the dictator was dead and the regime changed. Shift from self-destructing institutions of the early Francoism to the self-reinforcing institutions of the democracy.
Despite the institutional change, there still is a certain institutional deficit. And then comes the crisis: first recession in 2008-2009, a very slight recovery, and a second recession in 2011-2013. The characteristics are highest unemployment rates, general strikes, social movements and, in the end, political dissatisfaction.
Methodology: take the political trust (CIS) and compare it with the unemployment rate, and controlled by the existence of elections. The results show that when unemployment grows, political trust falls. The existence of elections, though, highly increases political trust.
Conclusion: there is a risk that a long crisis and its negative impact on employment can have a negative impact on political trust and, thus, reduce the legitimacy of the institutions.
Economic crisis and democracy and Spain: legitimacy, dissatisfaction and disaffection.
- Political support/democratic legitimacy was as widespread in Spain as in any Western Europe countries.
- Political support has remained solid in the period in spite of sometimes turbulent circumstances (terrorism and violence, military coups, etc.)
- High levels of political dissatisfaction/discontent has abounded in the period, but never led to a decline in support of democracy or to birth of relevant anti-system parties.
Two dimensions of disaffection: institutional disaffection and disengagement.
- Do the previous questions still apply in Spain?
- Can trust be put back into the system or is the system already spoiled? Will the political system be granted support ever again?
- There is no direct relationship between legitimacy and discontent.
- The discontent is not a threat to the system.
- Economic crisis is affecting the citizens in different ways.
Time series analysis for setting:
- The association between legitimacy, dissatisfaction and disaffection.
- Their dependence on economic and political facts during the last three decades.
Dependent variables (CIS): legitimacy and satisfaction. Independent: government performance, party in government, levels of education, terrorism, corruption, ideological positioning.
Unemployment negatively affects legitimacy.
Who are the citizens? A typology
- Even if political discontent and country is governed by bad policies, legitimacy is not affected.
- Citizens blame the government both for the situation of economy and austerity policies.
- Economic crisis is bringing a political crisis.
- Among those disaffected, what is the relationship between their diffidence toward institutions and their support for the political system? Are they angry with institutions but still believe that the system, as a whole, is a good thing?
The political effects of the economic crisis in its territorial dimension:Â legitimacy, dissatisfaction and political disaffection in times of crisis.
Teresa Mata LÃ³pez, Marta ParadÃ©s
Taking into account that the â€œautonomÃasâ€ have been key for the consolidation of democracy in Spain, how has political disaffection been affected by the crisis in the different autonomies?
- Legitimacy of the system not related with satisfaction of the economy.
- Satisfaction with the system relate with the performance of institutions.
The support to the autonomic model changes along time but differs depending on the territory.
There is a strong relationship between the economic situation of Spain and the legitimacy of the democratic system. But, when the crisis becomes deeper, the significance of the correlation is weaker.
- The crisis deepens the impact of former changes that were already in place.
- There is a positive relationship between the valuations of the economic situation and the legitimacy of the autonomic state.
- The relationship between the economic valuation and satisfaction with the performance of the autonomic system â€œdisappearsâ€ with the crisis.
- There are changes between different territories due to ideology and identity.
XI Congreso de la AECPA (2013)
If you need to cite this article in a formal way (i.e. for bibliographical purposes) I dare suggest:
Peña-López, I. (2013) “XI Congreso de la AECPA (III). The effects of the economic crisis in Spanish democracy: legitimacy, dissatisfaction and dissaffection” In ICTlogy,
#120, September 2013. Barcelona: ICTlogy.
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